⚽ Football · Australia Western Australia State League 1 · 27/06, 09:00
UWA-Nedlands FC vs Cockburn City
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UWA-Nedlands FC 1576 · Cockburn City 1500
| UWA-Nedlands FC | Draw | Cockburn City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 20% | 23% |
| Market | 66% | 19% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
PickUWA-Nedlands FC · 62%
Expected goals3.75UWA-Nedlands FC 2.31 · Cockburn City 1.44
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 69%
Likely score2-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UWA-Nedlands FC (rating 1576 vs 1500).
- High estimate: 3.75 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.9 combined avg at HT (1 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UWA-Nedlands FC | Cockburn City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1 | 1.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 6.9 | 2.1 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · UWA-Nedlands FC 1–0–1 Cockburn City
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Cockburn City | 2-4 HT 1-1 | UWA-Nedlands FC |
| 06/09/24 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Cockburn City | 1-0 HT 1-0 | UWA-Nedlands FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
UWA-Nedlands FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 8 | W |
Cockburn City
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 13/06 | Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |