⚽ Football · Australia Western Australia State League 1 · 27/06, 09:00
Quinns FC vs Murdoch University Melville FC
40%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quinns FC 1459 · Murdoch University Melville FC 1469
| Quinns FC | Draw | Murdoch University Melville FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 23% | 32% |
| Market | 36% | 24% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.29Quinns FC 1.79 · Murdoch University Melville FC 1.49
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 65%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 3.29 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Murdoch University Melville FC: 2-2-0.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.4 + 1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Quinns FC | Murdoch University Melville FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.4 | 1.8 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.3 | 2.4 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.8 | 4 / 0.5 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Quinns FC 0–2–2 Murdoch University Melville FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Murdoch University Melville FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Quinns FC |
| 20/08/22 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Quinns FC | 2-3 HT 0-0 | Murdoch University Melville FC |
| 28/05/22 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Murdoch University Melville FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Quinns FC |
| 03/03/22 Australia Friendlies | Murdoch University Melville FC | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Quinns FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Quinns FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-3 | 0-7 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/04 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Murdoch University Melville FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/06 | Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/05 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 15/05 | Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 11 | W |
| 09/05 | Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |