⚽ Football · China Division 1 · 27/06, 13:00
Dalian K'un City vs Shenzhen Juniors
37%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dalian K'un City 1468 · Shenzhen Juniors 1545
| Dalian K'un City | Draw | Shenzhen Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 31% | 38% |
| Market | 34% | 30% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.29Dalian K'un City 1.07 · Shenzhen Juniors 1.22
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 54%
BTTSNo · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shenzhen Juniors (rating 1468 vs 1545).
- H2H favours Dalian K'un City: 3-0-1.
- Early goals: 1.6 combined avg at HT (0.7 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dalian K'un City | Shenzhen Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6 | 2.2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian K'un City 3–0–1 Shenzhen Juniors
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/25 China Division 1 | Shenzhen Juniors | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Dalian K'un City |
| 16/05/25 China Division 1 | Dalian K'un City | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Shenzhen Juniors |
| 06/10/24 China Division 2 | Dalian K'un City | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Shenzhen Juniors |
| 31/08/24 China Division 2 | Shenzhen Juniors | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Dalian K'un City |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Dalian K'un City
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Jiangxi Lushan China FA Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
3-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Dingnan Jiangxi United China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
Shenzhen Juniors
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China FA Cup |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Beijing Pengrui China FA Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |