⚽ Football · China Division 1 · 27/06, 13:30
Foshan Nanshi vs Yanbian Longding
37%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Foshan Nanshi 1465 · Yanbian Longding 1502
| Foshan Nanshi | Draw | Yanbian Longding | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 30% | 32% |
| Market | 30% | 29% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.43Foshan Nanshi 1.27 · Yanbian Longding 1.15
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 55%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Foshan Nanshi | Yanbian Longding | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.7 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.4 | 1.7 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Foshan Nanshi 2–2–2 Yanbian Longding
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/25 China Division 1 | Yanbian Longding | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Foshan Nanshi |
| 14/06/25 China Division 1 | Foshan Nanshi | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Yanbian Longding |
| 03/11/24 China Division 1 | Yanbian Longding | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Foshan Nanshi |
| 30/06/24 China Division 1 | Foshan Nanshi | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Yanbian Longding |
| 13/09/23 China Division 1 | Foshan Nanshi | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Yanbian Longding |
| 03/06/23 China Division 1 | Yanbian Longding | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Foshan Nanshi |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Foshan Nanshi
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Dingnan Jiangxi United China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
Yanbian Longding
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
2-0 | 4-3 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Shanghai Segenda China FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |