⚽ Football · China Division 1 · 27/06, 13:30
Nantong Zhiyun vs Meizhou Hakka
58%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nantong Zhiyun 1534 · Meizhou Hakka 1467
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Meizhou Hakka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 29% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 24% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
💰 Profitable betsUnder 2.5 goals · 64% · @1.85 · +18%
Under 3.5 goals · 83% · @1.30 · +8%
Expected goals2.14Nantong Zhiyun 1.48 · Meizhou Hakka 0.67
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nantong Zhiyun (rating 1534 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Meizhou Hakka: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nantong Zhiyun | Meizhou Hakka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.3 | 1.9 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.4 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Nantong Zhiyun 2–1–3 Meizhou Hakka
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/24 China Super League | Meizhou Hakka | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 05/04/24 China Super League | Nantong Zhiyun | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Meizhou Hakka |
| 29/10/23 China Super League | Meizhou Hakka | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 02/07/23 China Super League | Nantong Zhiyun | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Meizhou Hakka |
| 15/08/21 China Division 1 | Nantong Zhiyun | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Meizhou Hakka |
| 27/07/21 China Division 1 | Meizhou Hakka | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Nantong Zhiyun |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Nantong Zhiyun
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 23/05 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 15/05 | Dalian Kewei China FA Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
Meizhou Hakka
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 30/05 | Dingnan Jiangxi United China Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China FA Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 19/04 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 05/04 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |