⚽ Football · China Division 1 · 27/06, 13:30
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Nanjing City
35%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1442 · Nanjing City 1470
| Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | Draw | Nanjing City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 34% | 28% |
| Market | 33% | 31% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.9 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals1.9Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1.04 · Nanjing City 0.86
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 55%
BTTSNo · 61%
Most likely total1 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.9 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- H2H favours Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | Nanjing City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.6 | 2.5 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 3–2–1 Nanjing City
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/25 China Division 1 | Nanjing City | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC |
| 25/05/25 China Division 1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Nanjing City |
| 05/10/24 China Division 1 | Nanjing City | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC |
| 25/05/24 China Division 1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Nanjing City |
| 16/09/23 China Division 1 | Nanjing City | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC |
| 11/06/23 China Division 1 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Nanjing City |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Shanghai Shenhua China FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Guizhou Xufengtang China FA Cup |
0-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Dingnan Jiangxi United China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 12/04 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
Nanjing City
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Qingdao Red Lions China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Dingnan Jiangxi United China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 04/04 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 10 | L |