⚽ Football · China Division 1 · 28/06, 13:00
Suzhou Dongwu vs Ningbo Professional FC
40%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Suzhou Dongwu 1435 · Ningbo Professional FC 1534
| Suzhou Dongwu | Draw | Ningbo Professional FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 33% | 41% |
| Market | 30% | 30% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.98 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals1.98Suzhou Dongwu 0.84 · Ningbo Professional FC 1.14
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 52%
BTTSNo · 60%
Most likely total1 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ningbo Professional FC (rating 1435 vs 1534).
- Low estimate: 1.98 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- H2H favours Suzhou Dongwu: 3-3-0.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.5 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Suzhou Dongwu | Ningbo Professional FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4 | 2.1 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Suzhou Dongwu 3–3–0 Ningbo Professional FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/25 China Division 1 | Ningbo Professional FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Suzhou Dongwu |
| 27/04/25 China Division 1 | Suzhou Dongwu | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Ningbo Professional FC |
| 31/08/24 China Division 1 | Ningbo Professional FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Suzhou Dongwu |
| 14/04/24 China Division 1 | Suzhou Dongwu | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ningbo Professional FC |
| 02/09/23 China Division 1 | Suzhou Dongwu | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Ningbo Professional FC |
| 20/05/23 China Division 1 | Ningbo Professional FC | 1-5 HT 0-2 | Suzhou Dongwu |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Suzhou Dongwu
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Yunnan Yukun China FA Cup |
2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Yulin Mobei Miners China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 25/04 | Dingnan Jiangxi United China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 18/04 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
Ningbo Professional FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 23/05 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Liaocheng Legend China FA Cup |
3-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 03/05 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
3-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |