⚽ Football · Chile Segunda · 27/06, 22:00
Concon National vs AC Colina
56%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Concon National 1568 · AC Colina 1476
| Concon National | Draw | AC Colina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 26% | 14% |
| Market | 53% | 25% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.29Concon National 1.63 · AC Colina 0.65
BTTSNo · 60%
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Concon National (rating 1568 vs 1476).
- H2H favours Concon National: 3-2-0.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 0.5) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Concon National | AC Colina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.4 | 3.4 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.7 | 4.9 / 0.7 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Concon National 3–2–0 AC Colina
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 Chile Segunda | AC Colina | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Concon National |
| 28/10/23 Chile Tercera | Concon National | 2-0 HT 1-0 | AC Colina |
| 03/09/23 Chile Tercera | AC Colina | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Concon National |
| 10/06/23 Chile Tercera | AC Colina | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Concon National |
| 23/04/23 Chile Tercera | Concon National | 1-1 HT 0-0 | AC Colina |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Concon National
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 30/05 | Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 09/05 | Santiago City Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 03/05 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 27/04 | AC Colina Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 04/04 | Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 21/03 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 30/11 | Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
AC Colina
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 06/06 | Santiago City Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 02/05 | Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Concon National Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 10 | D |
| 11/04 | Santiago City Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 7 | D |
| 04/04 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 01/11 | Lautaro de Buin Chile Tercera |
2-0 | 6-0 | 13 | 1 | W |