⚽ Football · China Division 1 · 27/06, 09:30
Changchun Yatai vs Guangxi Hengchen
40%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Changchun Yatai 1506 · Guangxi Hengchen 1506
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Guangxi Hengchen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Market | 36% | 30% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.66Changchun Yatai 1.51 · Guangxi Hengchen 1.14
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 58%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Early goals: 1.7 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Changchun Yatai | Guangxi Hengchen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.1 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 4.6 | 3.8 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 2.2 / 0.2 |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Changchun Yatai
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China FA Cup |
1-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Dingnan Jiangxi United China Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 26/04 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Guangxi Hengchen
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Shandong Taishan China FA Cup |
0-2 | 0-5 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Hubei Istar China FA Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |