Football · Chile Segunda · 28/06, 21:00
Santiago Morning vs Deportes Linares
36%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santiago Morning 1481 · Deportes Linares 1496
| Santiago Morning | Draw | Deportes Linares | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 32% | 32% |
| Market | 37% | 29% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.14Santiago Morning 1.11 · Deportes Linares 1.04
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 52%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 12.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santiago Morning | Deportes Linares | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.1 | 2.2 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.7 / 0.7 | 5.8 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago Morning 1–0–0 Deportes Linares
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Chile Segunda | Deportes Linares | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Santiago Morning |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiago Morning
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 07/06 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 19/04 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 11 | D |
| 12/04 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 11 | L |
| 04/04 | Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 22/03 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
Deportes Linares
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
1-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 8 | L |
| 10/05 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Santiago Morning Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 20/04 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |