⚽ Football · Australia WA Premier League Women · 28/06, 09:00
Perth Redstar FC (W) vs Sorrento (W)
77%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Perth Redstar FC (W) 1537 · Sorrento (W) 1420
| Perth Redstar FC (W) | Draw | Sorrento (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 19% | 19% |
| Market | 90% | 6% | 4% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.92 goals · Bet365 line 4.5 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.92Perth Redstar FC (W) 2.53 · Sorrento (W) 1.39
Over / Under 4.5Under 4.5 · 57%
BTTSYes · 70%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Perth Redstar FC (W) (rating 1537 vs 1420).
- High estimate: 3.92 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Perth Redstar FC (W): 2-0-1.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Perth Redstar FC (W) | Sorrento (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 1 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.5 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0 | 1.3 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth Redstar FC (W) 2–0–1 Sorrento (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Australia WA Premier League Women | Perth Redstar FC (W) | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Sorrento (W) |
| 15/02/26 Australia Friendlies | Perth Redstar FC (W) | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Sorrento (W) |
| 20/06/21 Australia Western Australia State League 1 Women | Sorrento (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Perth Redstar FC (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Perth Redstar FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 22/04 | Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 04/04 | Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
Sorrento (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA State Cup Women |
0-4 | 0-6 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |