⚽ Football · Australia WA Premier League Women · 28/06, 09:00
Perth SC (W) vs Fremantle City FC (W)
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Perth SC (W) 1623 · Fremantle City FC (W) 1552
| Perth SC (W) | Draw | Fremantle City FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 26% | 18% |
| Market | 54% | 22% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.69Perth SC (W) 1.76 · Fremantle City FC (W) 0.92
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 55%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Perth SC (W) (rating 1623 vs 1552).
- H2H favours Perth SC (W): 4-2-0.
- Early goals: 3 combined avg at HT (1.6 + 1.4) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg → Over corners.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Perth SC (W) | Fremantle City FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 0.4 | 2.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.2 | 1.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 7.2 | 1.9 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0 | 0.9 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth SC (W) 4–2–0 Fremantle City FC (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 Australia WA Premier League Women | Perth SC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Fremantle City FC (W) |
| 13/07/25 Australia WA Premier League Women | Fremantle City FC (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Perth SC (W) |
| 11/05/25 Australia WA Premier League Women | Perth SC (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Fremantle City FC (W) |
| 22/03/25 Australia WA Premier League Women | Perth SC (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Fremantle City FC (W) |
| 09/03/25 Australia Friendlies | Perth SC (W) | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Fremantle City FC (W) |
| 21/07/24 Australia WA Premier League Women | Perth SC (W) | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Fremantle City FC (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Perth SC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 07/06 | Fremantle City 2 Women Australia WA State Cup Women |
6-0 | 8-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA State Cup Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 17/04 | Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Fremantle City FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
3-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Sorrento (W) Australia WA State Cup Women |
4-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 19/04 | Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 10/04 | Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |