⚽ Football · Australia WA Premier League Women · 28/06, 09:45
Subiaco AFC (W) vs Balcatta FC (W)
61%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Subiaco AFC (W) 1432 · Balcatta FC (W) 1553
| Subiaco AFC (W) | Draw | Balcatta FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 23% | 47% |
| Market | 12% | 16% | 72% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.74Subiaco AFC (W) 1.65 · Balcatta FC (W) 2.09
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 72%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Balcatta FC (W) (rating 1432 vs 1553).
- High estimate: 3.74 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Balcatta FC (W): 5-1-0.
- Early goals: 1.7 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 1.1) → Over 0.5 HT.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Subiaco AFC (W) | Balcatta FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.7 | 2.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.6 | 2.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.2 | 1.6 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Subiaco AFC (W) 0–1–5 Balcatta FC (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 Australia WA Premier League Women | Balcatta FC (W) | 7-0 HT 5-0 | Subiaco AFC (W) |
| 29/06/25 Australia WA Premier League Women | Balcatta FC (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Subiaco AFC (W) |
| 25/06/25 Australia WA Premier League Women | Balcatta FC (W) | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Subiaco AFC (W) |
| 22/02/25 Australia Friendlies | Balcatta FC (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Subiaco AFC (W) |
| 18/08/24 Australia WA Premier League Women | Subiaco AFC (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Balcatta FC (W) |
| 30/06/24 Australia WA Premier League Women | Subiaco AFC (W) | 3-3 HT 1-3 | Balcatta FC (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Subiaco AFC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-2 | 6-4 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Perth SC (W) Australia WA State Cup Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 10/04 | Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-5 | 0-7 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 05/04 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Balcatta FC (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/04 | Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 17/04 | Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/04 | Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
5-0 | 7-0 | 1 | 0 | W |