Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 27/06, 15:00
DFK Dainava vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda
44%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · DFK Dainava 1585 · FK Neptunas Klaipeda 1567
| DFK Dainava | Draw | FK Neptunas Klaipeda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 45% | 26% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.71DFK Dainava 1.52 · FK Neptunas Klaipeda 1.19
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Early goals: 1.5 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| DFK Dainava | FK Neptunas Klaipeda | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.7 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · DFK Dainava 1–0–1 FK Neptunas Klaipeda
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/22 Lithuania 1 Lyga | DFK Dainava | 3-1 HT 2-0 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda |
| 29/04/22 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK Neptunas Klaipeda | 3-0 HT 1-0 | DFK Dainava |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
DFK Dainava
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | FK Transinvest Lithuania Cup |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/06 | FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/06 | FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/05 | FM Klaipedos Lithuania Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 15/05 | FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
FK Neptunas Klaipeda
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/06 | FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 05/06 | FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 30/05 | FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
3-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 12 | W |
| 22/04 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |