⚽ Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 26/06, 17:30
FK BE1 vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius II
60%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK BE1 1549 · FK Zalgiris Vilnius II 1467
| FK BE1 | Draw | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 24% | 18% |
| Market | 62% | 21% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.9FK BE1 1.9 · FK Zalgiris Vilnius II 0.99
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK BE1 (rating 1549 vs 1467).
- H2H favours FK BE1: 4-1-1.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.7 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK BE1 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6 | 1.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 4 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · FK BE1 4–1–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius II
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK BE1 |
| 08/03/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK BE1 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II |
| 28/08/23 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK BE1 |
| 10/04/23 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK BE1 | 3-0 HT 3-0 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II |
| 29/10/22 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK BE1 | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II |
| 24/06/22 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FK BE1 |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
FK BE1
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
2-0 | 5-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 28/04 | FM Klaipedos Lithuania Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
2-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga |
2-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 02/05 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/04 | DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |