Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 27/06, 15:00
FK Transinvest II vs FK Tauras
67%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Transinvest II 1432 · FK Tauras 1502
| FK Transinvest II | Draw | FK Tauras | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 20% | 66% |
| Market | 15% | 18% | 67% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.32FK Transinvest II 1 · FK Tauras 2.32
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Tauras (rating 1432 vs 1502).
- High estimate: 3.32 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.5 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Transinvest II | FK Tauras | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.8 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.3 | 2.1 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.3 | 4 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Transinvest II
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 10/06 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/05 | FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-1 | 1-7 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 19/04 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
FK Tauras
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
4-1 | 6-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 02/05 | FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/04 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania Cup |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |