Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 27/06, 15:00
FK Ekranas vs FK Atmosfera
51%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Ekranas 1430 · FK Atmosfera 1496
| FK Ekranas | Draw | FK Atmosfera | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 27% | 51% |
| Market | 24% | 24% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.66FK Ekranas 1.02 · FK Atmosfera 1.64
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Atmosfera (rating 1430 vs 1496).
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Ekranas | FK Atmosfera | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.9 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.2 | 2.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Ekranas 3–0–3 FK Atmosfera
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK Ekranas | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FK Atmosfera |
| 21/06/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK Atmosfera | 5-0 HT 1-0 | FK Ekranas |
| 19/10/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK Atmosfera | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK Ekranas |
| 02/06/24 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK Ekranas | 2-3 HT 1-2 | FK Atmosfera |
| 21/10/22 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK Atmosfera | 1-4 HT 0-4 | FK Ekranas |
| 18/06/22 Lithuania 1 Lyga | FK Ekranas | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Atmosfera |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Ekranas
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 05/06 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 29/05 | DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 08/05 | FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 11/04 | FK Tauras Lithuania Cup |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
FK Atmosfera
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 20/05 | Panevezys Lithuania Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 12 | L |
| 21/04 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |