⚽ Football · Argentina Torneo A · 28/06, 22:00
Club Atlético El Linqueño vs Sportivo Belgrano
40%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Atlético El Linqueño 1439 · Sportivo Belgrano 1557
| Club Atlético El Linqueño | Draw | Sportivo Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 37% | 43% |
| Market | 30% | 33% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.53 goals · Bet365 line 1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals1.53Club Atlético El Linqueño 0.55 · Sportivo Belgrano 0.97
BTTSNo · 72%
Most likely total1 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo Belgrano (rating 1439 vs 1557).
- Low estimate: 1.53 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- H2H favours Sportivo Belgrano: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Atlético El Linqueño | Sportivo Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.2 | 3.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Atlético El Linqueño 2–1–3 Sportivo Belgrano
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Belgrano | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Club Atlético El Linqueño |
| 22/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | Club Atlético El Linqueño | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Belgrano |
| 21/04/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Belgrano | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Club Atlético El Linqueño |
| 09/06/24 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Belgrano | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Club Atlético El Linqueño |
| 14/04/24 Argentina Torneo A | Club Atlético El Linqueño | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Belgrano |
| 09/09/23 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Belgrano | 4-0 HT 4-0 | Club Atlético El Linqueño |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Club Atlético El Linqueño
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 26/04 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Sportivo Belgrano
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 15/06 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |