Football · Argentina Torneo A · 28/06, 20:00
Sol de America de Formosa vs San Martin Formosa
44%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sol de America de Formosa 1527 · San Martin Formosa 1537
| Sol de America de Formosa | Draw | San Martin Formosa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 31% | 25% |
| Market | 44% | 31% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.21Sol de America de Formosa 1.29 · San Martin Formosa 0.92
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 52%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours San Martin Formosa: 3-2-1.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sol de America de Formosa | San Martin Formosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.1 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sol de America de Formosa 1–2–3 San Martin Formosa
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin Formosa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sol de America de Formosa |
| 22/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin Formosa | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Sol de America de Formosa |
| 20/04/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de America de Formosa | 1-1 HT 1-0 | San Martin Formosa |
| 21/07/24 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de America de Formosa | 0-2 HT 0-0 | San Martin Formosa |
| 26/05/24 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin Formosa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sol de America de Formosa |
| 31/03/24 Argentina Torneo A | Sol de America de Formosa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Martin Formosa |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sol de America de Formosa
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 17/05 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
San Martin Formosa
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-3 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 25/05 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |