⚽ Football · Argentina Torneo A · 28/06, 22:00
CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs CA Bartolome Mitre
48%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Sarmiento de la Banda 1535 · CA Bartolome Mitre 1544
| CA Sarmiento de la Banda | Draw | CA Bartolome Mitre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 36% | 23% |
| Market | 53% | 30% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.68 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals1.68CA Sarmiento de la Banda 0.99 · CA Bartolome Mitre 0.69
BTTSNo · 68%
Most likely total1 goals
💎 ValueUnder 2 goals · +6.6%The model gives this bet 6.6% more probability than its odds (1.80) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.68 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- H2H favours CA Sarmiento de la Banda: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Sarmiento de la Banda | CA Bartolome Mitre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 20/80/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.7 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Sarmiento de la Banda 2–1–0 CA Bartolome Mitre
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Argentina Torneo A | CA Bartolome Mitre | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda |
| 22/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | CA Bartolome Mitre | 0-1 HT 0-1 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda |
| 18/04/25 Argentina Torneo A | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Bartolome Mitre |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 13/04 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 05/04 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
CA Bartolome Mitre
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 06/06 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/05 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |