Football · Argentina Torneo A · 28/06, 20:00
Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Guillermo Brown
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kimberley Mar del Plata 1508 · Guillermo Brown 1485
| Kimberley Mar del Plata | Draw | Guillermo Brown | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 32% | 14% |
| Market | 56% | 30% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.78 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.78Kimberley Mar del Plata 1.27 · Guillermo Brown 0.51
Over / Under 1.5Over 1.5 · 51%
BTTSNo · 56%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.78 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kimberley Mar del Plata | Guillermo Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.4 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kimberley Mar del Plata 1–1–1 Guillermo Brown
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Argentina Torneo A | Guillermo Brown | 3-4 HT 1-1 | Kimberley Mar del Plata |
| 05/07/25 Argentina Torneo A | Guillermo Brown | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kimberley Mar del Plata |
| 04/05/25 Argentina Torneo A | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Guillermo Brown |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kimberley Mar del Plata
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 07/06 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 25/05 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 02/05 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
Guillermo Brown
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/04 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |