⚽ Football · Argentina Torneo A · 28/06, 22:00
Club Villa Mitre vs CA Alvarado
38%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Villa Mitre 1508 · CA Alvarado 1549
| Club Villa Mitre | Draw | CA Alvarado | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 41% | 27% |
| Market | 43% | 33% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.36 goals · Bet365 line 1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals1.36Club Villa Mitre 0.73 · CA Alvarado 0.63
BTTSNo · 75%
Most likely total1 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Alvarado (rating 1508 vs 1549).
- Low estimate: 1.36 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Villa Mitre | CA Alvarado | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.8 | 2.2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Villa Mitre 1–4–1 CA Alvarado
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Argentina Torneo A | CA Alvarado | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Club Villa Mitre |
| 04/03/19 Argentina Torneo A | CA Alvarado | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Club Villa Mitre |
| 08/11/18 Argentina Torneo A | Club Villa Mitre | 1-1 HT 1-1 | CA Alvarado |
| 19/09/18 Argentina Torneo A | CA Alvarado | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Club Villa Mitre |
| 12/02/18 Argentina Torneo A | CA Alvarado | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Club Villa Mitre |
| 16/11/17 Argentina Torneo A | Club Villa Mitre | 2-1 HT 1-1 | CA Alvarado |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Club Villa Mitre
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 25/05 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
CA Alvarado
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 14/06 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 07/06 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
3-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |