Football · Argentina Torneo A · 27/06, 20:30
CDA Monte Maiz vs Juventud Unida Universitario
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CDA Monte Maiz 1527 · Juventud Unida Universitario 1473
| CDA Monte Maiz | Draw | Juventud Unida Universitario | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 30% | 15% |
| Market | 55% | 29% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.97CDA Monte Maiz 1.37 · Juventud Unida Universitario 0.61
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 53%
BTTSNo · 54%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CDA Monte Maiz (rating 1527 vs 1473).
- Low estimate: 1.97 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- H2H favours CDA Monte Maiz: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CDA Monte Maiz | Juventud Unida Universitario | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.3 | 1.3 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CDA Monte Maiz 3–3–0 Juventud Unida Universitario
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Argentina Torneo A | Juventud Unida Universitario | 1-2 HT 1-0 | CDA Monte Maiz |
| 15/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | CDA Monte Maiz | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Juventud Unida Universitario |
| 13/04/25 Argentina Torneo A | Juventud Unida Universitario | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CDA Monte Maiz |
| 19/05/24 Argentina Torneo A | CDA Monte Maiz | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Juventud Unida Universitario |
| 24/03/24 Argentina Torneo A | Juventud Unida Universitario | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CDA Monte Maiz |
| 17/09/23 Argentina Torneo A | CDA Monte Maiz | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Juventud Unida Universitario |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CDA Monte Maiz
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 07/06 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 05/04 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Juventud Unida Universitario
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 14/06 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 23/05 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |