Football · Argentina Torneo A · 28/06, 20:30
CA Costa Brava vs San Martin de Mendoza
56%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Costa Brava 1484 · San Martin de Mendoza 1503
| CA Costa Brava | Draw | San Martin de Mendoza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 35% | 11% |
| Market | 58% | 28% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.49 goals · Bet365 line 1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.49CA Costa Brava 1.13 · San Martin de Mendoza 0.37
Over / Under 1.5Over 1.5 · 50%
BTTSNo · 60%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 82%model estimate
Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.49 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Costa Brava | San Martin de Mendoza | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.4 | 1.9 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.7 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Costa Brava 1–2–0 San Martin de Mendoza
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin de Mendoza | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Costa Brava |
| 24/05/25 Argentina Torneo A | CA Costa Brava | 1-0 HT 0-0 | San Martin de Mendoza |
| 23/03/25 Argentina Torneo A | San Martin de Mendoza | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Costa Brava |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Costa Brava
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 14/06 | Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 11 | W |
| 07/06 | Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 10 | L |
| 26/04 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 20/04 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 12/04 | Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
San Martin de Mendoza
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 05/04 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |