Fútbol · New Zealand Southern League · 28/6, 02:45
Dunedin City Royals FC vs Nelson Suburbs
49%2
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Dunedin City Royals FC 1426 · Nelson Suburbs 1551
| Dunedin City Royals FC | Empate | Nelson Suburbs | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| Mercado | 29% | 21% | 50% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
3.55 goles · línea Bet365 3.5
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado. Las apuestas de valor marcan dónde la cuota cubre con margen la probabilidad del modelo (valor).
Análisis del modelo
Goles esperados3.55Dunedin City Royals FC 1.52 · Nelson Suburbs 2.04
Más / Menos 3.5Menos 3.5 · 53%
Ambos marcanSí · 59%
Total más probable3 goles
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 51%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Nelson Suburbs (rating 1426 vs 1551).
- Total alto: 3.55 goles estimados → Over 2.5 a considerar.
- Historial directo a favor de Nelson Suburbs: 3-2-1.
- Se marca pronto: 1.8 goles de media combinada al descanso (0.4 + 1.4) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Muchos córners: 12.8 de media combinada → Over córners.
- Partido de tarjetas: 5.4 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Dunedin City Royals FC | Nelson Suburbs | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 0.8 / 2.4 | 3 / 2 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.4 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 10/30/60% | 40/30/30% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 3.1 / 8.8 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Dunedin City Royals FC 1–2–3 Nelson Suburbs
| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 New Zealand Southern League | Nelson Suburbs | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Dunedin City Royals FC |
| 20/07/25 New Zealand Southern League | Nelson Suburbs | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Dunedin City Royals FC |
| 05/07/25 New Zealand Cup | Dunedin City Royals FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Nelson Suburbs |
| 18/04/25 New Zealand Southern League | Dunedin City Royals FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Nelson Suburbs |
| 08/06/24 New Zealand Southern League | Nelson Suburbs | 6-2 HT 2-1 | Dunedin City Royals FC |
| 01/07/23 New Zealand Southern League | Dunedin City Royals FC | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Nelson Suburbs |
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Dunedin City Royals FC
| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/6 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 6/6 | Christchurch United New Zealand Southern League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | V |
| 23/5 | Cashmere Technical New Zealand Southern League |
0-5 | 0-6 | – | – | D |
| 16/5 | Northern AFC New Zealand Southern League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | V |
| 2/5 | Wanaka AFC New Zealand Southern League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 27/4 | Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Southern League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/4 | Nomads United New Zealand Southern League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 11/4 | Selwyn United New Zealand Southern League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 5/4 | Nelson Suburbs New Zealand Southern League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 28/3 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | E |
Nelson Suburbs
| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/6 | Wanaka AFC New Zealand Southern League |
1-0 | 6-0 | 17 | 2 | V |
| 14/6 | Nomads United New Zealand Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | V |
| 7/6 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League |
4-0 | 5-3 | 8 | 4 | V |
| 24/5 | Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Southern League |
2-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 16/5 | Christchurch United New Zealand Southern League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | V |
| 3/5 | Nomads United New Zealand Southern League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 27/4 | Cashmere Technical New Zealand Southern League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 19/4 | Selwyn United New Zealand Southern League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 2 | V |
| 12/4 | Northern AFC New Zealand Southern League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 5/4 | Dunedin City Royals FC New Zealand Southern League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 3 | V |