⚽ Fútbol · New Zealand Northern League · 27/6, 03:00
Bay Olympic vs Fencibles United
59%2
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Bay Olympic 1411 · Fencibles United 1572
| Bay Olympic | Empate | Fencibles United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 24% | 23% | 53% |
| Mercado | 17% | 19% | 64% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
3.32 goles · línea Bet365 3.5 · -0.2
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado. El 💎 marca dónde nuestro modelo ve la cuota infravalorada (posible valor).
🧠 Análisis del modelo
Goles esperados3.32Bay Olympic 1.31 · Fencibles United 2.01
Ambos marcanSí · 64%
Total más probable3 goles
🔑 Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Fencibles United (rating 1411 vs 1572).
- Total alto: 3.32 goles estimados → Over 2.5 a considerar.
- Historial directo a favor de Fencibles United: 2-0-1.
- Se marca pronto: 1.3 goles de media combinada al descanso (0.2 + 1.1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Partido de tarjetas: 6.6 🟨 de media combinada.
📊 Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Bay Olympic | Fencibles United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 0.6 / 2.8 | 2.6 / 1.4 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.2 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 10/10/80% | 30/40/30% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.1 | 2.2 / 4.2 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Bay Olympic 1–0–2 Fencibles United
| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 New Zealand Northern League | Fencibles United | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Bay Olympic |
| 23/08/25 New Zealand Northern League | Fencibles United | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Bay Olympic |
| 24/05/25 New Zealand Northern League | Bay Olympic | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Fencibles United |
📅 Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De estos partidos salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En gris, los partidos que iban 0-0 al descanso.
Bay Olympic
| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/6 | Tauranga City AFC New Zealand Northern League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | V |
| 6/6 | Manukau United New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | V |
| 1/6 | Birkenhead United New Zealand Cup |
1-3 | 2-6 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 29/5 | Western Springs AFC New Zealand Northern League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/5 | Birkenhead United New Zealand Northern League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 16/5 | Auckland United FC New Zealand Northern League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 9/5 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland New Zealand Northern League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 2/5 | Auckland City New Zealand Northern League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/4 | East Coast Bays New Zealand Northern League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 11/4 | Melville United New Zealand Northern League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
Fencibles United
| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/6 | Melville United New Zealand Northern League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | V |
| 13/6 | Birkenhead United New Zealand Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | V |
| 6/6 | Tauranga City AFC New Zealand Northern League |
4-1 | 7-1 | 8 | 4 | V |
| 29/5 | Manukau United New Zealand Northern League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | V |
| 23/5 | Western Springs AFC New Zealand Northern League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 5 | V |
| 16/5 | Birkenhead United New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 9/5 | Auckland United FC New Zealand Northern League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | E |
| 2/5 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland New Zealand Northern League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/4 | Auckland City New Zealand Northern League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/4 | Auckland FC II New Zealand Northern League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | V |