⚽ Football · New Zealand Northern League · 27/06, 09:30
Auckland FC II vs Manukau United
68%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Auckland FC II 1510 · Manukau United 1380
| Auckland FC II | Draw | Manukau United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 20% | 16% |
| Market | 72% | 16% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.55Auckland FC II 2.39 · Manukau United 1.16
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 63%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Auckland FC II (rating 1510 vs 1380).
- High estimate: 3.55 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Auckland FC II | Manukau United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.7 / 3.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/33/22% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 4.4 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 1.7 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Auckland FC II 1–0–0 Manukau United
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 New Zealand Northern League | Manukau United | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Auckland FC II |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Auckland FC II
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Western Springs AFC New Zealand Northern League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Birkenhead United New Zealand Northern League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 01/06 | East Coast Bays New Zealand Cup |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 28/05 | Auckland United FC New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | South Melbourne OFC Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/05 | South Island United OFC Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Auckland City New Zealand Northern League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/05 | South Island United OFC Pro League |
1-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Bula OFC Pro League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Manukau United
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | East Coast Bays New Zealand Northern League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Bay Olympic New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | Fencibles United New Zealand Northern League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Tauranga City AFC New Zealand Northern League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Melville United New Zealand Northern League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Western Springs AFC New Zealand Northern League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Birkenhead United New Zealand Northern League |
1-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Auckland United FC New Zealand Northern League |
0-3 | 0-7 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland New Zealand Northern League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Auckland City New Zealand Northern League |
1-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | L |