⚽ Football · New Zealand Central League · 27/06, 02:30
Upper Hutt City vs Waterside Karori
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Upper Hutt City 1471 · Waterside Karori 1453
| Upper Hutt City | Draw | Waterside Karori | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 24% | 28% |
| Market | 54% | 21% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.36Upper Hutt City 1.92 · Waterside Karori 1.44
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 66%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 3.36 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.5 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Upper Hutt City | Waterside Karori | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.1 | 0.9 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 33/22/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.1 | 1.6 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 2.9 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Upper Hutt City 1–1–1 Waterside Karori
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 New Zealand Central League | Waterside Karori | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Upper Hutt City |
| 20/06/25 New Zealand Central League | Upper Hutt City | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Waterside Karori |
| 05/04/25 New Zealand Central League | Waterside Karori | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Upper Hutt City |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Upper Hutt City
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Miramar Rangers New Zealand Central League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | Petone FC New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Western New Zealand Central League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Island Bay United New Zealand Central League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Wellington Olympic New Zealand Central League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Western Suburbs New Zealand Central League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Napier City Rovers New Zealand Central League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Miramar Rangers New Zealand Central League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | Waterside Karori New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Waterside Karori
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Island Bay United New Zealand Central League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/06 | Napier City Rovers New Zealand Cup |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Wellington Olympic New Zealand Central League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Western Suburbs New Zealand Central League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Napier City Rovers New Zealand Central League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Miramar Rangers New Zealand Central League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | FC Western New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Petone FC New Zealand Central League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Central League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |