Football · Sweden 2.div Norrland · 27/06, 13:00
IFK Umeå vs Storfors AIK
56%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IFK Umeå 1384 · Storfors AIK 1442
| IFK Umeå | Draw | Storfors AIK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 22% | 56% |
| Market | 23% | 21% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.71IFK Umeå 1.44 · Storfors AIK 2.27
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Storfors AIK (rating 1384 vs 1442).
- High estimate: 3.71 goals → consider Over 2.5.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IFK Umeå | Storfors AIK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 3.5 | 1.2 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.5 | 0.5 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.8 | 1.3 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 0.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Umeå 0–0–1 Storfors AIK
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland | Storfors AIK | 3-1 HT 2-0 | IFK Umeå |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IFK Umeå
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06 | Umeå FC Academy Sweden 2.div Norrland |
2-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Skellefteå FF Sweden 2.div Norrland |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 03/06 | Täfteå IK Sweden 2.div Norrland |
0-4 | 1-5 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | IFK Luleå Sweden 2.div Norrland |
0-4 | 1-6 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Bodens BK FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Storfors AIK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/05 | Umeå FC Academy Sweden 2.div Norrland |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Skellefteå FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-1 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Täfteå IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | IFK Luleå Sweden 2.div Norrland |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
Storfors AIK
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Täfteå IK Sweden 2.div Norrland |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | IFK Luleå Sweden 2.div Norrland |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 07/06 | Bodens BK FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/06 | Skellefteå FF Sweden 2.div Norrland |
0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Umeå FC Academy Sweden 2.div Norrland |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | IFK Umeå Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Täfteå IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-4 | 1-6 | – | – | L |
| 06/05 | IFK Luleå Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | Bodens BK FF Sweden 2.div Norrland |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Skellefteå FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |