Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 27/06, 16:00
RFS II vs Riga FC II
40%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · RFS II 1463 · Riga FC II 1451
| RFS II | Draw | Riga FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 26% | 35% |
| Market | 40% | 24% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.08RFS II 1.58 · Riga FC II 1.49
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 53%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Early goals: 1.7 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| RFS II | Riga FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.2 | 1.4 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.9 | 2.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 5.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · RFS II 2–2–2 Riga FC II
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/25 Latvia 1. Liga | RFS II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Riga FC II |
| 14/04/25 Latvia 1. Liga | Riga FC II | 2-2 HT 1-0 | RFS II |
| 22/09/24 Latvia 1. Liga | Riga FC II | 1-1 HT 0-0 | RFS II |
| 18/05/24 Latvia 1. Liga | RFS II | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Riga FC II |
| 15/09/23 Latvia 1. Liga | RFS II | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Riga FC II |
| 14/05/23 Latvia 1. Liga | Riga FC II | 4-0 HT 3-0 | RFS II |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
RFS II
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Leevon PPK Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/03 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 1-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 9 | D |
Riga FC II
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Leevon PPK Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 04/05 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
3-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 10/04 | JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 06/04 | Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 21/03 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 10 | L |