Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 27/06, 17:00
Rezeknes FA vs JDFS Alberts
75%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rezeknes FA 1405 · JDFS Alberts 1543
| Rezeknes FA | Draw | JDFS Alberts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 17% | 74% |
| Market | 10% | 15% | 75% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.27Rezeknes FA 0.78 · JDFS Alberts 2.49
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JDFS Alberts (rating 1405 vs 1543).
- High estimate: 3.27 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours JDFS Alberts: 4-2-0.
- Early goals: 1.3 combined avg at HT (0.3 + 1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rezeknes FA | JDFS Alberts | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.9 | 2.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.3 | 3.1 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rezeknes FA 0–2–4 JDFS Alberts
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/25 Latvia 1. Liga | Rezeknes FA | 0-0 HT 0-0 | JDFS Alberts |
| 12/04/25 Latvia 1. Liga | JDFS Alberts | 8-1 HT 6-1 | Rezeknes FA |
| 21/09/24 Latvia 1. Liga | Rezeknes FA | 0-7 HT 0-3 | JDFS Alberts |
| 19/05/24 Latvia 1. Liga | JDFS Alberts | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Rezeknes FA |
| 17/09/23 Latvia 1. Liga | JDFS Alberts | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Rezeknes FA |
| 21/06/23 Latvia Cup | JDFS Alberts | 8-0 HT 3-0 | Rezeknes FA |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rezeknes FA
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | RFS II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | FK Kekava/Auda Latvia Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
1-2 | 1-6 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Leevon PPK Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
JDFS Alberts
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/05 | Iecava Latvia Cup |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga |
3-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | RFS II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |