Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 27/06, 16:00
FC Elimai Semey vs FK Kyzylzhar
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Elimai Semey 1475 · FK Kyzylzhar 1432
| FC Elimai Semey | Draw | FK Kyzylzhar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 26% | 20% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.71FC Elimai Semey 1.74 · FK Kyzylzhar 0.97
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Elimai Semey (rating 1475 vs 1432).
- H2H favours FC Elimai Semey: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Elimai Semey | FK Kyzylzhar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.8 | 0.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.2 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 5.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Elimai Semey 3–3–0 FK Kyzylzhar
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Elimai Semey | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FK Kyzylzhar |
| 25/05/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kyzylzhar | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FC Elimai Semey |
| 14/05/25 Kazakhstan Cup | FK Kyzylzhar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Elimai Semey |
| 24/08/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Elimai Semey | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FK Kyzylzhar |
| 02/06/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kyzylzhar | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Elimai Semey |
| 08/05/24 Kazakhstan Cup | FC Elimai Semey | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Kyzylzhar |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Elimai Semey
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 30/04 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 26/04 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
FK Kyzylzhar
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 11 | L |
| 17/06 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 29/04 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |