Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 28/06, 16:00
FK Zhenys vs FC Astana
40%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Zhenys 1523 · FC Astana 1491
| FK Zhenys | Draw | FC Astana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 31% | 40% |
| Market | 30% | 29% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.24FK Zhenys 1.01 · FC Astana 1.23
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 51%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Astana: 2-3-1.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Zhenys | FC Astana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.7 | 3.6 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Zhenys 1–3–2 FC Astana
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Zhenys | 3-2 HT 0-1 | FC Astana |
| 24/05/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Astana | 4-2 HT 1-2 | FK Zhenys |
| 14/05/25 Kazakhstan Cup | FK Zhenys | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Astana |
| 23/11/24 Kazakhstan League Cup | FK Zhenys | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Astana |
| 29/09/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Zhenys | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Astana |
| 13/04/24 Kazakhstan Cup | FK Zhenys | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Astana |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Zhenys
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/05 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 29/04 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Cup |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
FC Astana
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 27/05 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 22/05 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/04 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |