Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 27/06, 20:30
Union Espanola (W) vs Magallanes (W)
73%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union Espanola (W) 1527 · Magallanes (W) 1449
| Union Espanola (W) | Draw | Magallanes (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 19% | 8% |
| Market | 73% | 18% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.73 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.73Union Espanola (W) 2.14 · Magallanes (W) 0.59
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 56%
BTTSNo · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Espanola (W) (rating 1527 vs 1449).
- Early goals: 1.3 combined avg at HT (0.7 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Espanola (W) | Magallanes (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/22/33% | 33/22/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4 | 2 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Espanola (W) 1–0–0 Magallanes (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Magallanes (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Union Espanola (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Espanola (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 13/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-1 | 5-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 13/05 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 24/04 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
Magallanes (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/05 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 02/05 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 24/04 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 27/03 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |