⚽ Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 26/06, 21:00
Santiago Wanderers (W) vs Deportes Recoleta (W)
75%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santiago Wanderers (W) 1493 · Deportes Recoleta (W) 1365
| Santiago Wanderers (W) | Draw | Deportes Recoleta (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 17% | 9% |
| Market | 75% | 16% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.38Santiago Wanderers (W) 2.56 · Deportes Recoleta (W) 0.81
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santiago Wanderers (W) (rating 1493 vs 1365).
- High estimate: 3.38 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Santiago Wanderers (W): 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santiago Wanderers (W) | Deportes Recoleta (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 3.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 0/11/89% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2.9 | 1.1 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago Wanderers (W) 3–0–0 Deportes Recoleta (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Santiago Wanderers (W) |
| 27/08/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Santiago Wanderers (W) |
| 10/05/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Recoleta (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Santiago Wanderers (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/04 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Deportes Recoleta (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-9 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 05/04 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |