⚽ Football · Brazil Serie C · 27/06, 21:00
Floresta EC vs Barra FC
48%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Floresta EC 1479 · Barra FC 1468
| Floresta EC | Draw | Barra FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 34% | 21% |
| Market | 51% | 30% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.86 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals1.86Floresta EC 1.15 · Barra FC 0.71
BTTSNo · 64%
Most likely total1 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.86 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Floresta EC | Barra FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.4 | 1.3 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Floresta EC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/05 | Paysandu Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Itabaiana Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 05/05 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 26/04 | Botafogo PB Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 21/04 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Santa Cruz FC Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
Barra FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/06 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/06 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | Corinthians Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Caxias RS Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 05/05 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 22/04 | Corinthians Copa do Brasil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |