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Football · Brazil Serie C · 01/07, 01:30

Botafogo PB vs Brusque

Expected goals: 2.5 (Botafogo PB 1.24 · Brusque 1.26). The model gives 35% home, 30% draw, 36% away. Over 2 goals (55%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.

36%2
35% 30% 36%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Botafogo PB 1450 · Brusque 1544
Botafogo PBDrawBrusque
Our model35%30%36%
Market35%30%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals2.5Botafogo PB 1.24 · Brusque 1.26
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 55%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brusque (rating 1450 vs 1544).
  • H2H favours Brusque: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Botafogo PBBrusque
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.71.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.90.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 6.13.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 05 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Botafogo PB 0–0–2 Brusque

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/07/25
Brazil Serie C
Botafogo PB1-3
HT 1-2
Brusque
08/07/23
Brazil Serie C
Botafogo PB1-2
HT 0-1
Brusque

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guarani 12642 231122
2 Brusque 11632 171121
3 Paysandu 12624 191620
4 Ituano 12543 151219
5 Ferroviaria SP 12543 121019
6 Inter de Limeira 12543 151419
7 Santa Cruz FC 12534 12918
8 Floresta EC 12534 151418
9 Amazonas FC 11524 131317
10 Caxias RS 11443 11916
11 Maringa FC 12444 222416
12 Figueirense 12444 111516
13 Ypiranga RS 12435 151715
14 Volta Redonda 11425 71114
15 Maranhao 12354 91214
16 Botafogo PB 11416 131513
17 Barra FC 12264 141312
18 AD Confianca 12327 71011
19 Itabaiana 12246 91710
20 Anapolis FC 11227 8148

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBotafogo PBBrusque
Volta Redonda 2-0 W 1-1 D
Ypiranga RS 1-1 D 3-0 W
Maringa FC 2-1 W 3-2 W
Paysandu 2-4 L 1-1 D
Floresta EC 1-2 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Brusque (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Botafogo PB

DLDLLLLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/06 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
 2-0 2-0 12 W
16/06 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
 0-1 1-1 07 D
30/05 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
 2-0 2-1 35 W
26/05 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
 0-0 0-1 75 L
19/05 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
 0-1 0-1 84 L
09/05 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
 1-2 1-3 89 L
04/05 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
 2-3 2-4 44 L
30/04 Fluminense PI
Brazil Copa Nordeste
 0-0 1-1 146 D
26/04 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
 1-1 1-2 82 L
23/04 Itabaiana
Brazil Copa Nordeste
 0-1 3-3 83 D

Brusque

DWWDWLWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/06 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
 1-1 2-1 82 W
14/06 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
 0-0 0-1 57 L
02/06 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
 0-1 2-2 133 D
24/05 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
 0-0 1-0 65 W
17/05 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
 0-0 0-1 39 L
11/05 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
 1-0 3-0 93 W
03/05 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
 1-0 1-1 55 D
25/04 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
 0-0 2-1 64 W
21/04 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
 2-1 3-2 06 W
12/04 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
 0-0 1-1 17 D