⚽ Football · Brazil Serie C · 27/06, 22:00
Paysandu vs Santa Cruz FC
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paysandu 1535 · Santa Cruz FC 1498
| Paysandu | Draw | Santa Cruz FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 30% | 19% |
| Market | 52% | 28% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.12Paysandu 1.37 · Santa Cruz FC 0.75
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- H2H favours Paysandu: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paysandu | Santa Cruz FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.6 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.6 | 5.9 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Paysandu 4–1–1 Santa Cruz FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/21 Brazil Serie C | Paysandu | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Santa Cruz FC |
| 04/07/21 Brazil Serie C | Santa Cruz FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Paysandu |
| 11/10/20 Brazil Serie C | Santa Cruz FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Paysandu |
| 08/08/20 Brazil Serie C | Paysandu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Santa Cruz FC |
| 18/11/17 Brazil Serie B | Paysandu | 4-2 HT 2-0 | Santa Cruz FC |
| 02/08/17 Brazil Serie B | Santa Cruz FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Paysandu |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Paysandu
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 8 | L |
| 07/06 | Anapolis FC Brazil Copa Verde |
1-0 | 4-0 | 13 | 10 | W |
| 05/06 | Anapolis FC Brazil Copa Verde |
0-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 01/06 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 11 | L |
| 29/05 | Nacional AM Brazil Copa Norte |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 26/05 | Floresta EC Brazil Serie C |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 21/05 | Nacional AM Brazil Copa Norte |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Caxias RS Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | Vasco da Gama Copa do Brasil |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
Santa Cruz FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 14/06 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Volta Redonda Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 12/05 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 02/05 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 18/04 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Floresta EC Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |