⚽ Football · Brazil Serie C · 01/07, 00:30
Caxias RS vs Anapolis FC
56%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caxias RS 1545 · Anapolis FC 1490
| Caxias RS | Draw | Anapolis FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 31% | 16% |
| Market | 59% | 26% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals1.97Caxias RS 1.35 · Anapolis FC 0.62
BTTSNo · 65%
Most likely total1 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caxias RS (rating 1545 vs 1490).
- Low estimate: 1.97 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Caxias RS | Anapolis FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.4 | 2.4 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.6 | 5.5 / 0.5 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Caxias RS 1–0–0 Anapolis FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/25 Brazil Serie C | Caxias RS | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Anapolis FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Caxias RS
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 13/06 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Paysandu Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Barra FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 07/05 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 10 | D |
| 01/05 | Volta Redonda Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 28/04 | Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
Anapolis FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Itabaiana Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Paysandu Brazil Copa Verde |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 10 | L |
| 05/06 | Paysandu Brazil Copa Verde |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 28/05 | Rio Branco ES Brazil Copa Centro-Oeste |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | Rio Branco ES Brazil Copa Centro-Oeste |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Barra FC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 14/05 | Vila Nova Brazil Copa Centro-Oeste |
1-0 | 5-4 | 2 | 4 | W |