⚽ Football · Brazil Serie C · 29/06, 01:30
Ypiranga RS vs AD Confianca
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ypiranga RS 1485 · AD Confianca 1454
| Ypiranga RS | Draw | AD Confianca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 30% | 20% |
| Market | 52% | 29% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.15Ypiranga RS 1.36 · AD Confianca 0.79
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- H2H favours AD Confianca: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ypiranga RS | AD Confianca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.3 | 3.2 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Ypiranga RS 1–3–2 AD Confianca
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/25 Brazil Serie C | Ypiranga RS | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AD Confianca |
| 08/07/24 Brazil Serie C | AD Confianca | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Ypiranga RS |
| 01/07/23 Brazil Serie C | AD Confianca | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Ypiranga RS |
| 16/04/22 Brazil Serie C | AD Confianca | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ypiranga RS |
| 07/09/19 Brazil Serie C | Ypiranga RS | 1-1 HT 1-0 | AD Confianca |
| 31/08/19 Brazil Serie C | AD Confianca | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ypiranga RS |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Ypiranga RS
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Santa Cruz FC Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 16/06 | Botafogo PB Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 25/05 | Volta Redonda Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
1-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 28/04 | Caxias RS Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Anapolis FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/04 | Itabaiana Brazil Serie C |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
AD Confianca
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 15/06 | Volta Redonda Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Floresta EC Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 19/05 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Gremio Copa do Brasil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 11/05 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 08/05 | Fortaleza Brazil Copa Nordeste |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 30/04 | Vitoria Brazil Copa Nordeste |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |