⚽ Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 27/06, 07:00
Queanbeyan City vs Canberra White Eagles
72%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Queanbeyan City 1544 · Canberra White Eagles 1384
| Queanbeyan City | Draw | Canberra White Eagles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| Market | 75% | 14% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.77 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.77Queanbeyan City 2.6 · Canberra White Eagles 1.17
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 55%
BTTSYes · 64%
Likely score2-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Queanbeyan City (rating 1544 vs 1384).
- High estimate: 3.77 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Queanbeyan City: 3-0-1.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (1 + 0.4) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Queanbeyan City | Canberra White Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.7 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Queanbeyan City 3–0–1 Canberra White Eagles
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Canberra White Eagles | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Queanbeyan City |
| 03/08/24 Australia Capital Territory NPL2 | Queanbeyan City | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Canberra White Eagles |
| 01/08/20 Australia Capital Territory NPL2 | Queanbeyan City | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Canberra White Eagles |
| 14/07/18 Australia Capital Territory State League | Canberra White Eagles | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Queanbeyan City |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Queanbeyan City
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 10/06 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 07/05 | Canberra Juventus Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 24/04 | Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Canberra White Eagles
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/06 | Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 12/05 | Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 2 | L |