⚽ Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 27/06, 09:45
Monaro Panthers vs Tigers FC
40%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Monaro Panthers 1548 · Tigers FC 1624
| Monaro Panthers | Draw | Tigers FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 21% | 42% |
| Market | 41% | 22% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
4 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4Monaro Panthers 1.93 · Tigers FC 2.07
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 75%
Likely score1-2
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigers FC (rating 1548 vs 1624).
- High estimate: 4 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Tigers FC: 4-1-1.
- Early goals: 2.2 combined avg at HT (1.1 + 1.1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg → Over corners.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Monaro Panthers | Tigers FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 2.2 | 3.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 7.4 | 2.6 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Monaro Panthers 1–1–4 Tigers FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/26 Australia Cup Qualifying | Monaro Panthers | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Tigers FC |
| 13/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Tigers FC | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Monaro Panthers |
| 20/09/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Tigers FC | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Monaro Panthers |
| 12/08/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Monaro Panthers | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Tigers FC |
| 31/05/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Tigers FC | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Monaro Panthers |
| 04/04/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Monaro Panthers | 5-2 HT 2-0 | Tigers FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Monaro Panthers
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 10/06 | Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
4-0 | 6-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 20/05 | Tigers FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 5-3 | 12 | 5 | W |
Tigers FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/06 | O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
3-0 | 7-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 20/05 | Monaro Panthers Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |