Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 27/06, 16:00
EPS vs GrIFK
44%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · EPS 1498 · GrIFK 1471
| EPS | Draw | GrIFK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 24% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Profitable betsUnder 2.5 goals · 44% · @2.63 · +15%
Under 4.5 goals · 83% · @1.28 · +6%
Both teams score: No · 44% · @2.63 · +16%
High-value bet — premium onlyGo premium to see it.Expected goals2.93EPS 1.62 · GrIFK 1.31
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours GrIFK: 3-1-2.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| EPS | GrIFK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 6.1 | 2.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 5.9 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · EPS 2–1–3 GrIFK
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B | GrIFK | 1-0 HT 1-0 | EPS |
| 23/07/23 Finland Kakkonen Group B | GrIFK | 2-5 HT 1-3 | EPS |
| 06/05/23 Finland Kakkonen Group B | EPS | 1-0 HT 0-0 | GrIFK |
| 24/08/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B | GrIFK | 2-1 HT 1-0 | EPS |
| 05/06/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B | EPS | 1-3 HT 1-2 | GrIFK |
| 22/08/21 Finland Kakkonen Group B | GrIFK | 1-1 HT 0-1 | EPS |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
EPS
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B |
2-0 | 6-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | FC Haka Finland Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/04 | Valtti Finland Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
GrIFK
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 11 | D |
| 24/05 | EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 11 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 17/04 | EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 10/04 | FC Futura Finland Cup |
1-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/02 | FC Lahti Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |