Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 27/06, 16:00
HJS vs NJS
82%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · HJS 1526 · NJS 1380
| HJS | Draw | NJS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 85% | 9% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.51 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Profitable betsUnder 3.5 goals · 53% · @2.25 · +20%
High-value bet — premium onlyGo premium to see it.Expected goals3.51HJS 2.76 · NJS 0.76
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HJS (rating 1526 vs 1380).
- High estimate: 3.51 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours HJS: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HJS | NJS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 3.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.2 | 1.3 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HJS 2–1–0 NJS
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B | NJS | 2-4 HT 0-2 | HJS |
| 02/08/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B | HJS | 2-1 HT 1-1 | NJS |
| 02/06/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B | NJS | 1-1 HT 0-0 | HJS |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HJS
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | TPS Finland Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 29/04 | PPJ Finland Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
NJS
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-4 | 1-7 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 29/05 | FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-1 | 0-5 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 17/04 | HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B |
0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | HPS Finland Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |