Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 27/06, 15:00
Huima/Urho vs JBK
45%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Huima/Urho 1538 · JBK 1494
| Huima/Urho | Draw | JBK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 23% | 32% |
| Market | 45% | 23% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.72Huima/Urho 2.02 · JBK 1.7
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Huima/Urho (rating 1538 vs 1494).
- High estimate: 3.72 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 2.1 combined avg at HT (1.2 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Huima/Urho | JBK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 2.2 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 6.4 | 2.3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Huima/Urho 0–0–1 JBK
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C | JBK | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Huima/Urho |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Huima/Urho
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
3-1 | 7-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C |
3-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 07/05 | SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 28/04 | KUPS Akatemia Finland Cup |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C |
2-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 8 | L |
JBK
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/05 | FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 16/04 | FC Ylivieska Finland Cup |
1-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 6 | L |