Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 27/06, 14:00
GBK vs JS Hercules
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · GBK 1495 · JS Hercules 1442
| GBK | Draw | JS Hercules | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 20% | 19% |
| Market | 62% | 19% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.81 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Profitable betsUnder 3.5 goals · 47% · @2.50 · +18%
Under 5.5 goals · 82% · @1.33 · +9%
Both teams score: No · 41% · @3.40 · +39%
High-value bet — premium onlyGo premium to see it.Expected goals3.81GBK 2.48 · JS Hercules 1.33
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GBK (rating 1495 vs 1442).
- High estimate: 3.81 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours GBK: 4-1-1.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| GBK | JS Hercules | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.2 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.2 | 1.6 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · GBK 4–1–1 JS Hercules
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C | JS Hercules | 4-0 HT 1-0 | GBK |
| 08/08/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C | GBK | 2-1 HT 2-1 | JS Hercules |
| 08/06/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C | JS Hercules | 1-2 HT 0-0 | GBK |
| 07/07/24 Finland Kakkonen Group C | JS Hercules | 1-2 HT 0-0 | GBK |
| 05/05/24 Finland Kakkonen Group C | GBK | 5-1 HT 4-0 | JS Hercules |
| 09/09/23 Finland Kakkonen Group C | JS Hercules | 1-1 HT 0-1 | GBK |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
GBK
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-3 | 2-6 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 28/04 | FF Jaro Finland Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
JS Hercules
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/06 | VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/05 | FC Inter Finland Cup |
0-3 | 0-8 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 29/04 | Virkia Finland Cup |
1-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C |
2-2 | 5-3 | 5 | 6 | W |