Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 27/06, 16:00
TP-47 vs VPS-J
41%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · TP-47 1522 · VPS-J 1509
| TP-47 | Draw | VPS-J | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 21% | 37% |
| Market | 41% | 22% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.3 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.3TP-47 2.21 · VPS-J 2.09
Over / Under 4Over 4 · 50%
BTTSYes · 63%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- High estimate: 4.3 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours VPS-J: 2-1-1.
- Early goals: 2 combined avg at HT (1 + 1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 11 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| TP-47 | VPS-J | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.5 | 2.3 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.9 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.7 | 3.6 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · TP-47 1–1–2 VPS-J
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C | VPS-J | 1-1 HT 1-1 | TP-47 |
| 30/08/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C | VPS-J | 11-0 HT 6-0 | TP-47 |
| 02/08/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C | VPS-J | 8-0 HT 4-0 | TP-47 |
| 01/06/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C | TP-47 | 3-2 HT 3-0 | VPS-J |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
TP-47
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C |
2-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 28/02 | JS Hercules Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
VPS-J
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/06 | JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 21/05 | FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/05 | SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 28/04 | SJK Finland Cup |
1-4 | 1-6 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |