Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 27/06, 16:00
MyPa vs Atlantis
45%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · MyPa 1480 · Atlantis 1474
| MyPa | Draw | Atlantis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 21% | 45% |
| Market | 33% | 22% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.28 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.28MyPa 1.98 · Atlantis 2.3
Over / Under 4Over 4 · 50%
BTTSYes · 63%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- High estimate: 4.28 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Atlantis: 2-0-1.
- Early goals: 2.2 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 1.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MyPa | Atlantis | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 3.3 | 2.9 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.5 | 3.3 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MyPa 1–0–2 Atlantis
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A | Atlantis | 0-2 HT 0-1 | MyPa |
| 25/09/21 Finland Kakkonen Group A | Atlantis | 6-0 HT 2-0 | MyPa |
| 03/08/21 Finland Kakkonen Group A | MyPa | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Atlantis |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MyPa
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 29/05 | PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/05 | HJK Helsinki Finland Cup |
0-6 | 1-11 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-4 | 0-5 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 13/05 | KaPa Finland Cup |
1-0 | 6-5 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 02/05 | Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Popinniemen Ponnistus Finland Cup |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Atlantis
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A |
6-0 | 8-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-4 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A |
3-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 28/04 | FC Honka Finland Cup |
1-1 | 5-7 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |