Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 27/06, 18:26
Kiffen vs Reipas
45%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kiffen 1522 · Reipas 1516
| Kiffen | Draw | Reipas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 22% | 33% |
| Market | 45% | 22% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.06Kiffen 2.19 · Reipas 1.87
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- High estimate: 4.06 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Kiffen: 3-2-1.
- Early goals: 2.1 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 1.3) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kiffen | Reipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 2.3 | 2.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.3 | 2.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kiffen 3–2–1 Reipas
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A | Reipas | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Kiffen |
| 07/09/24 Finland Kakkonen Group A | Reipas | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Kiffen |
| 19/06/24 Finland Kakkonen Group A | Kiffen | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Reipas |
| 13/04/24 Finland Kakkonen Group A | Reipas | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Kiffen |
| 19/08/23 Finland Kakkonen Group A | Kiffen | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Reipas |
| 27/05/23 Finland Kakkonen Group A | Reipas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kiffen |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kiffen
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 08/06 | Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/05 | HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 09/05 | PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/04 | Puiu Finland Cup |
0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | L |
Reipas
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A |
4-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 14/04 | KUPS Akatemia Finland Cup |
1-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | L |