⚽ Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 26/06, 13:00
Bayswater City vs Perth RedStar FC
48%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bayswater City 1587 · Perth RedStar FC 1589
| Bayswater City | Draw | Perth RedStar FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 23% | 31% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.22Bayswater City 1.79 · Perth RedStar FC 1.43
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 51%
BTTSYes · 63%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 3.22 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Bayswater City: 3-1-2.
- Early goals: 2.1 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bayswater City | Perth RedStar FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1.7 | 2.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.3 | 1.7 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.4 | 2.4 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Bayswater City 3–1–2 Perth RedStar FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/26 Australia Cup Qualifying | Bayswater City | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Perth RedStar FC |
| 14/03/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Perth RedStar FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Bayswater City |
| 30/01/26 Australia Friendlies | Bayswater City | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Perth RedStar FC |
| 28/06/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Perth RedStar FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Bayswater City |
| 28/03/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Bayswater City | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Perth RedStar FC |
| 13/07/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Perth RedStar FC | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Bayswater City |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Bayswater City
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/06 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/06 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-3 | 4-3 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/04 | Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Perth RedStar FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 16/06 | Bayswater City Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 22/05 | Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Inglewood United Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |